Talk:A shady goblin/Player Agreement

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Time limit to roll

Some people are upset with the 5 seconds and wish to see it raised to 10s, 15s or 30s.
Seems like a reasonable request and it won't throw the respawn off by more than a few more seconds.
--Baler (talk) 21:30, 27 February 2019 (UTC)

Variance respawn data (archive)

Respawn data (P99 Blue)

PM Daily ToD/Winner to keep this graphic/data updated

• Period 1 (2/11/19) - 24 hours 8 minutes (Diamondfist)
• Period 2 (2/12/19) - 26 hours 46 minutes (Bbeta)
• Period 3 (2/13/19) - 25 hours 44 minutes (Murobb)
• Period 4 (2/14/19) - 26 hours 41 minutes (Valewind)
• Period 5 (2/15/19) - 25 hours 44 minutes (Henrique)
• Period 6 (2/16/19) - 26 hours 38 minutes (Phatboil)
• Period 7 (2/17/19) - 24 hours 32 minutes (Woton)
• Period 8 (2/18/19) - 26 hours 43 minutes (Siryado) [broke Player Agreement]
• Period 9 (2/19/19) - 27 hours 24 minutes (Obrez)
  • *past midnight (UTC -5 time)
• Period 10 (2/21/19) - 25 hours 35 minutes (Arvan)
• Period 11 (2/22/19) - 24 hours 10 minutes (Kunio)
• Period 12 (2/23/19) - 24 hours 55 minutes (Ecaroh)
• Period 13 (2/24/19) - 24 hours 34 minutes (Cartel)
• Period 14 (2/25/19) - 24 hours 16 minutes (Kelzaraz)
• Period 15 (2/26/19) - 27 hours 20 minutes (Farellron) [friendly dispute open]
• Period 16 (2/27/19) - 25 hours 15 minutes (Ausar)
• Period 17 (2/28/19) - 26 hours 19 minutes (Samaranth)
• Period 18 (3/01/19) - 27 hours 10 minutes (Gynette)
• Period 19 (3/02/19) - 27 hours 38 minutes (Clurp)
• Period 20 (3/03/19) - 24 hours 48 minutes (Mily)
• Simulated Respawn (3/03/19) - (Narshe)
• Period 21 (3/05/19*) - 27 hours 48 minutes (Chunkerz)
  • *past midnight (UTC -5 time)
• Period 22 (3/06/19) - Need ToD (Need winner)
• Period 23 (3/07/19) - 27 hours 6 minutes (temporal ToD) (Neezy)
• Period 24 (3/08/19) - 24 hours 58 minutes (Kelza)
• Period 24 (3/09/19) - 24 hours 31 minutes (Fistofflurry)
• Period 25 (3/10/19) - 27 hours 6 minutes (Firenze)

Longest variance of the window

• 3 hours 40 minutes

Theorycrafting into repawn timer and window

• Given the facts of no repop prior 24:08 hours, no repop past 27:48, we are so far into a 3hours 40minutes maximun window, within a 20+ sample size timers.
• The common knowledge about respawn windows would make us think that a mob with a 24 hours window, who could respawn at +3:30 hours after last spawn could also respawn at -3:30 hours from last spawn.
• In this particular case, we have so far a consecutive 20+ size sample on which there are 0 negative windows based on the 24 hours mark. The chance, under normal conditions, for this streak would be lower than 0,00002%, which seems fair enough to certify, his respawn time is not based into a 24 hour time.
• With the current data info recolected so far, rounding up and down, the estimated guess for "a shady goblin" respawn and window would be of 25:50 hours +-1hour 50minutes.
• That estimation would cover from the 24:00 mark (8 minutes less than the shortest window so far) and 27:40 mark (current longest window so far).
• The estimation though, is getting close to a point on which it, following a round numbers logic, the 26 +-2 hours window starts to get weight.
• The slightly over 24 hours window creates a situation and a window which keeps moving daily through the time, allowing roll to happen in good time frame for all time zones through the days.

• As the simple size increases, the spawn data will be more accurate

Maximum (talk) 17:08, 7 April 2019 (UTC)